Denvwrbroncos Football Betting News

<< Vikings cage Jaguars to keep pace in NFC North
Jacksonville, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Adrian Peterson rushed for a touchdown and Ryan Longwell kicked three field goals, as the Minnesota Vikings caged the Jaguars, 30-12, at Jacksonville Municipal Stadium. A battered and bruised Gus Fre

<< Wenger: Gallas has a future with Arsenal
London, England (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Arsenal coach Arsene Wenger insists William Gallas has a future at the club, but has refused to discuss his decision to strip the outspoken Frenchman of the captaincy. Gallas did not travel for the sq

<< Rosenfels leads Houston to rare road victory
Cleveland, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Sage Rosenfels threw for 275 yards and a touchdown, leading the Houston Texans to a 16-6 road victory over the Cleveland Browns. Rosenfels completed 24-of-32 passes and threw two interceptions f

<< Hannover, Germany goalie Enke close to returning
Hannover, Germany (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Germany and Hannover goalie Robert Enke is hopeful of being back in action early on in the New Year. The 31-year-old has been out of action since October after sustaining a broken hand while on interna

Bucs keep Lions winless despite slow start >>
Detroit, MI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jeff Garcia threw for 165 yards and two touchdowns as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers downed Detroit, 38-20, to keep the Lions winless on the season. Warrick Dunn had 14 carries for 90 yards and a scor

Roma rolls over Lecce >>
Lecce, Italy (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Roma kept its momentum going on Sunday with a comfortable 3-0 over Lecce at Stadio Via del Mare, taking its current unbeaten streak to four games in all competitions. Mirko Vucinic, Juan and Francesco To

Cassel fuels Pats past Dolphins >>
Miami, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Matt Cassel threw for 415 yards and three touchdowns, leading the New England Patriots to a 48-28 victory over the Miami Dolphins. Randy Moss caught eight passes for 125 yards with three scores for

Forte, Bears knock out Bulger, Rams >>
St. Louis, MO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Matt Forte rushed for 132 yards with two touchdowns as the Chicago Bears hammered the St. Louis Rams, 27-3, at the Edward Jones Dome. Kyle Orton managed the game well, completing 18-of-29 passes

Betting Football

Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.

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